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Italy U21 vs Poland U21 Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Italy U21 badge Italy U21
VS

Final result6–2

Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia

Match Finished

Poland U21 badge Poland U21
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Poland U21Selection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Italy U21Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Poland U21Probability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Poland U21
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Poland U21

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorItaly U21Poland U21
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total43.3%56.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Italy U21

Recent form (last 5): L W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Poland U21

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Poland U21 2–1 Italy U21 (14 Nov 2025)

Italy U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Italy U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026Armenia U21Away1–0Won
08 Jun 2026Albania U21Home1–0Won
31 Mar 2026Sweden U21Away4–0Won
26 Mar 2026North Macedonia U21Home4–0Won
18 Nov 2025Montenegro U21Away4–1Won
Italy U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Italy U21 performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage83.33%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage16.67%
Penalty total6

Italy U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away11
Goals for total26
Goals for average home3.80
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total2.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.92%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.85%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away3
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage60.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Poland U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Poland U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026Sweden U21Home3–0Won
31 Mar 2026Montenegro U21Away1–0Won
27 Mar 2026Armenia U21Home4–1Won
18 Nov 2025North Macedonia U21Away1–0Won
14 Nov 2025Italy U21Home2–1Won
Poland U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Poland U21 performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins9
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-6
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away6
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Poland U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away12
Goals for total26
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage32.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage32.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away0
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.40
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.20
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage66.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Italy U21 predictions and analysis, Poland U21 match tips, or more UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.