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Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Sweden badge Sweden
VS

Final result3–1

Strawberry Arena

Match Finished

Poland badge Poland
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Sweden and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
SwedenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
PolandProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sweden
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Sweden and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSwedenPoland
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack100.0%0.0%
Defence0.0%100.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H67.0%33.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Sweden

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Poland

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sweden 3–2 Poland (31 Mar 2026)
  2. Poland 2–0 Sweden (29 Mar 2022)
  3. Sweden 3–2 Poland (23 Jun 2021)

Sweden recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sweden goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026RomaniaHome2–1Won
30 Jun 2026FranceAway0–3Lost
26 Jun 2026JapanAway1–1Draw
20 Jun 2026NetherlandsAway1–5Lost
15 Jun 2026TunisiaHome5–1Won
Sweden detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sweden performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Sweden goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away0
Goals for total2
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Poland recent matches

Scores below are shown as Poland goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026Bosnia & HerzegovinaHome0–0Draw
03 Jun 2026NigeriaHome2–2Draw
31 May 2026UkraineHome0–2Lost
31 Mar 2026SwedenAway2–3Lost
26 Mar 2026AlbaniaHome2–1Won
Poland detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Poland performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Poland goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away0
Goals for total0
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.00
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sweden predictions and analysis, Poland match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.