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Spain vs Croatia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Spain badge Spain
VS

Final result4–1

Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán

Match Finished

Croatia badge Croatia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
SpainProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
CroatiaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Spain
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSpainCroatia
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals74.0%26.0%
Total59.4%40.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Spain

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Croatia

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Spain 3–0 Croatia (15 Jun 2024)
  2. Croatia 0–0 Spain (18 Jun 2023)
  3. Croatia 3–5 Spain (28 Jun 2021)
  4. Croatia 3–2 Spain (15 Nov 2018)
  5. Spain 6–0 Croatia (11 Sep 2018)
  6. Croatia 2–1 Spain (21 Jun 2016)
  7. Croatia 0–1 Spain (18 Jun 2012)

Spain recent matches

Scores below are shown as Spain goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026EnglandAway3–2Won
19 Jul 2026ArgentinaHome1–0Won
14 Jul 2026FranceAway2–0Won
10 Jul 2026BelgiumHome2–1Won
06 Jul 2026PortugalAway1–0Won
Spain detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Spain performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Spain goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away3
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Croatia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Croatia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026CzechiaAway2–1Won
03 Jul 2026PortugalAway1–2Lost
27 Jun 2026GhanaHome2–1Won
24 Jun 2026PanamaAway1–0Won
17 Jun 2026EnglandAway2–4Lost
Croatia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Croatia performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Croatia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Spain predictions and analysis, Croatia match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.