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Italy vs Türkiye Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Italy badge Italy
VS

Final result3–1

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Match Finished

Türkiye badge Türkiye
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Italy or drawSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
ItalyProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
TürkiyeProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Italy
Betting advice
Double chance : Italy or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorItalyTürkiye
Form100.0%0.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence63.0%38.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H91.0%9.0%
Goals77.0%23.0%
Total77.8%22.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Italy

Recent form (last 5): L W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Türkiye

Recent form (last 5): L L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Türkiye 1–4 Italy (28 Sep 2026)
  2. Italy 0–0 Türkiye (04 Jun 2024)
  3. Türkiye 2–3 Italy (29 Mar 2022)
  4. Türkiye 0–3 Italy (11 Jun 2021)

Italy recent matches

Scores below are shown as Italy goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Sep 2026TürkiyeAway4–1Won
25 Sep 2026BelgiumHome0–2Lost
07 Jun 2026GreeceAway1–0Won
03 Jun 2026LuxembourgAway1–0Won
31 Mar 2026Bosnia & HerzegovinaAway1–1Draw
Italy detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Italy performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Italy goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away4
Goals for total4
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away4.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away1
Goals against total3
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Türkiye recent matches

Scores below are shown as Türkiye goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Oct 2026BelgiumAway0–3Lost
28 Sep 2026ItalyHome1–4Lost
25 Sep 2026FranceHome0–1Lost
26 Jun 2026USAHome3–2Won
20 Jun 2026ParaguayHome0–1Lost
Türkiye detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Türkiye performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Türkiye goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away0
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away0
Goals against total5
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total2.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Italy predictions and analysis, Türkiye match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.