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Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Iceland badge Iceland
VS

Final result3–0

Ice Rink Laugardalur

Match Finished

Bulgaria badge Bulgaria
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Iceland or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
IcelandProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
BulgariaProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Iceland
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Iceland or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIcelandBulgaria
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total75.7%24.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Iceland

Recent form (last 5): D W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Bulgaria

Recent form (last 5): L D

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Iceland recent matches

Scores below are shown as Iceland goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Sep 2026LuxembourgAway3–0Won
26 Sep 2026EstoniaHome1–1Draw
10 Jun 2026ArgentinaAway0–3Lost
31 May 2026JapanAway0–1Lost
31 Mar 2026HaitiAway1–1Draw
Iceland detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Iceland performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Iceland goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away3
Goals for total4
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Bulgaria recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bulgaria goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Sep 2026EstoniaHome0–0Draw
26 Sep 2026LuxembourgHome1–2Lost
05 Jun 2026MoldovaAway2–2Draw
01 Jun 2026MontenegroHome0–1Lost
30 Mar 2026IndonesiaAway1–0Won
Bulgaria detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bulgaria performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bulgaria goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away0
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away0
Goals against total2
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Iceland predictions and analysis, Bulgaria match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.