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France vs Belgium Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

France badge France
VS

Final result4–1

Stade de France

Match Finished

Belgium badge Belgium
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : France or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
FranceProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BelgiumProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
France
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : France or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFranceBelgium
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Team form and goal analysis

France

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Belgium

Recent form (last 5): W L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Belgium 0–1 France (28 Sep 2026)
  2. Belgium 1–2 France (14 Oct 2024)
  3. France 2–0 Belgium (09 Sep 2024)
  4. France 1–0 Belgium (01 Jul 2024)
  5. Belgium 2–3 France (07 Oct 2021)
  6. France 1–0 Belgium (10 Jul 2018)

France recent matches

Scores below are shown as France goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Sep 2026BelgiumAway1–0Won
25 Sep 2026TürkiyeAway1–0Won
18 Jul 2026EnglandHome4–6Lost
14 Jul 2026SpainHome0–2Lost
09 Jul 2026MoroccoHome2–0Won
France detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

France performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

France goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Belgium recent matches

Scores below are shown as Belgium goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Oct 2026TürkiyeHome3–0Won
28 Sep 2026FranceHome0–1Lost
25 Sep 2026ItalyAway2–0Won
10 Jul 2026SpainAway1–2Lost
07 Jul 2026USAAway4–1Won
Belgium detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Belgium performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Belgium goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore France predictions and analysis, Belgium match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.