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England vs Croatia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

England badge England
VS
Croatia badge Croatia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : England and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 0%
50%
HOME WIN
EnglandProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
CroatiaProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
England
Betting advice
Combo Winner : England and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorEnglandCroatia
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack78.0%22.0%
Defence82.0%18.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals82.0%18.0%
Total80.7%19.3%

Team form and goal analysis

England

Recent form (last 5): L W W W

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Croatia

Recent form (last 5): W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Croatia 0–7 England (03 Oct 2026)
  2. England 4–2 Croatia (17 Jun 2026)
  3. England 1–0 Croatia (13 Jun 2021)
  4. England 2–1 Croatia (18 Nov 2018)
  5. Croatia 0–0 England (12 Oct 2018)
  6. Croatia 2–1 England (11 Jul 2018)

England recent matches

Scores below are shown as England goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06 Oct 2026CzechiaHome3–0Won
03 Oct 2026CroatiaAway7–0Won
29 Sep 2026CzechiaAway2–0Won
26 Sep 2026SpainHome2–3Lost
18 Jul 2026FranceAway6–4Won
England detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

England performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-7
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away7
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

England goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away9
Goals for total14
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away4.50
Goals for average total3.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage38.46%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away0
Goals against total3
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Croatia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Croatia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06 Oct 2026SpainHome1–2Lost
03 Oct 2026EnglandHome0–7Lost
29 Sep 2026SpainAway1–4Lost
26 Sep 2026CzechiaAway2–1Won
03 Jul 2026PortugalAway1–2Lost
Croatia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Croatia performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-7
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Croatia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away3
Goals for total4
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away5
Goals against total14
Goals against average home4.50
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total3.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore England predictions and analysis, Croatia match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.