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Croatia vs Spain Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Croatia badge Croatia
VS

Final result1–2

Stadion Poljud

Match Finished

Spain badge Spain
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Spain and +4.5 goalsSelection confidence: 50%
0%
HOME WIN
CroatiaProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
SpainProbability
GOALS MARKET+4.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Spain
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Spain and +4.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCroatiaSpain
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals32.0%68.0%
Total27.0%73.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Croatia

Recent form (last 5): W L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Spain

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 3.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Spain 4–1 Croatia (29 Sep 2026)
  2. Spain 3–0 Croatia (15 Jun 2024)
  3. Croatia 0–0 Spain (18 Jun 2023)
  4. Croatia 3–5 Spain (28 Jun 2021)
  5. Croatia 3–2 Spain (15 Nov 2018)
  6. Spain 6–0 Croatia (11 Sep 2018)
  7. Croatia 2–1 Spain (21 Jun 2016)
  8. Croatia 0–1 Spain (18 Jun 2012)

Croatia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Croatia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026EnglandHome0–7Lost
29 Sep 2026SpainAway1–4Lost
26 Sep 2026CzechiaAway2–1Won
03 Jul 2026PortugalAway1–2Lost
27 Jun 2026GhanaHome2–1Won
Croatia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Croatia performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-7
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home7
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Croatia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away3
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home7.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total4.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Spain recent matches

Scores below are shown as Spain goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026CzechiaHome3–1Won
29 Sep 2026CroatiaHome4–1Won
26 Sep 2026EnglandAway3–2Won
19 Jul 2026ArgentinaHome1–0Won
14 Jul 2026FranceAway2–0Won
Spain detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Spain performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Spain goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away3
Goals for total7
Goals for average home4.00
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total3.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away2
Goals against total3
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage66.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +4.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Croatia predictions and analysis, Spain match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.