FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan badge Azerbaijan
VS

Final result1–0

Bakcell Arena

Match Finished

Lithuania badge Lithuania
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Lithuania and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
AzerbaijanProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LithuaniaProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lithuania
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Lithuania and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAzerbaijanLithuania
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Azerbaijan

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Lithuania

Recent form (last 5): W D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan (27 Sep 2026)
  2. Azerbaijan 0–0 Lithuania (25 Mar 2019)

Azerbaijan recent matches

Scores below are shown as Azerbaijan goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026LiechtensteinHome0–0Draw
27 Sep 2026LithuaniaAway1–1Draw
23 Sep 2026TajikistanHome1–0Won
09 Jun 2026San MarinoHome2–1Won
05 Jun 2026MaltaHome0–2Lost
Azerbaijan detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Azerbaijan performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Azerbaijan goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away1
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Lithuania recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lithuania goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026AndorraHome3–0Won
27 Sep 2026AzerbaijanHome1–1Draw
24 Sep 2026LiechtensteinAway2–0Won
09 Jun 2026EstoniaAway0–1Lost
06 Jun 2026LatviaHome1–1Draw
Lithuania detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lithuania performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Lithuania goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away2
Goals for total3
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Azerbaijan predictions and analysis, Lithuania match tips, or more UEFA Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.