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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Champions League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
VS

Final result4–1

Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Match Finished

RB Leipzig badge RB Leipzig
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Real Madrid and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Real MadridProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
RB LeipzigProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Real Madrid
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Real Madrid and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorReal MadridRB Leipzig
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson84.0%16.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total66.7%33.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Real Madrid

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

RB Leipzig

Recent form (last 5): L W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Real Madrid 1–1 RB Leipzig (06 Mar 2024)
  2. RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid (13 Feb 2024)
  3. RB Leipzig 3–2 Real Madrid (25 Oct 2022)
  4. Real Madrid 2–0 RB Leipzig (14 Sep 2022)

Real Madrid recent matches

Scores below are shown as Real Madrid goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026SevillaHome4–1Won
14 Oct 2026AS RomaAway4–3Won
10 Oct 2026VillarrealHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Atletico MadridAway1–2Lost
15 Sep 2026ElcheAway3–2Won
Real Madrid detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Real Madrid performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away3-4
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Real Madrid goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away4
Goals for total6
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away4.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

RB Leipzig recent matches

Scores below are shown as RB Leipzig goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Bayern MünchenAway1–6Lost
13 Oct 2026PSV EindhovenHome1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Eintracht FrankfurtHome6–0Won
20 Sep 2026Bayer LeverkusenAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Hamburger SVHome5–0Won
RB Leipzig detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

RB Leipzig performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

RB Leipzig goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away1
Goals for total2
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away4
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away4.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Real Madrid predictions and analysis, RB Leipzig match tips, or more UEFA Champions League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.