Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Champions League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Champions League

VS

Final result4–2

Parc des Princes

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Paris Saint GermainProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BarcelonaProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Paris Saint Germain
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorParis Saint GermainBarcelona
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals65.0%35.0%
Total54.7%45.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Paris Saint Germain

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 5.00 per match.

Barcelona

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 4.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Barcelona 1–2 Paris Saint Germain (01 Oct 2025)
  2. Barcelona 1–4 Paris Saint Germain (16 Apr 2024)
  3. Paris Saint Germain 2–3 Barcelona (10 Apr 2024)
  4. Paris Saint Germain 1–1 Barcelona (10 Mar 2021)
  5. Barcelona 1–4 Paris Saint Germain (16 Feb 2021)
  6. Barcelona 6–1 Paris Saint Germain (08 Mar 2017)
  7. Paris Saint Germain 4–0 Barcelona (14 Feb 2017)
  8. Barcelona 2–0 Paris Saint Germain (21 Apr 2015)
  9. Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Barcelona (15 Apr 2015)
  10. Barcelona 3–1 Paris Saint Germain (10 Dec 2014)

Paris Saint Germain recent matches

Scores below are shown as Paris Saint Germain goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026StrasbourgAway3–1Won
14 Oct 2026Manchester CityAway4–2Won
10 Oct 2026Le MansHome3–1Won
20 Sep 2026MarseilleAway2–1Won
13 Sep 2026Stade Brestois 29Away1–0Won
Paris Saint Germain detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Paris Saint Germain performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home6-1
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Paris Saint Germain goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home6.00
Goals for average away4.00
Goals for average total5.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away2
Goals against total3
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage66.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Barcelona recent matches

Scores below are shown as Barcelona goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Real BetisAway5–2Won
13 Oct 2026GalatasarayAway4–1Won
10 Oct 2026GetafeHome3–0Won
19 Sep 2026SevillaAway3–1Won
16 Sep 2026Racing SantanderHome7–2Won
Barcelona detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Barcelona performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Barcelona goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away4
Goals for total9
Goals for average home5.00
Goals for average away4.00
Goals for average total4.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away1
Goals against total2
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Paris Saint Germain predictions and analysis, Barcelona match tips, or more UEFA Champions League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.