Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Champions League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Champions League

VS

Final result2–4

Etihad Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Manchester City or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Manchester CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Paris Saint GermainProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Manchester City
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Manchester City or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorManchester CityParis Saint Germain
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total46.3%53.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Manchester City

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Paris Saint Germain

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 6.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Manchester City (22 Jan 2025)
  2. Manchester City 2–1 Paris Saint Germain (24 Nov 2021)
  3. Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Manchester City (28 Sep 2021)
  4. Manchester City 2–0 Paris Saint Germain (04 May 2021)
  5. Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Manchester City (28 Apr 2021)
  6. Manchester City 1–0 Paris Saint Germain (12 Apr 2016)
  7. Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Manchester City (06 Apr 2016)

Manchester City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Manchester City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026LiverpoolAway3–0Won
20 Sep 2026SunderlandHome5–3Won
17 Sep 2026NorwichHome5–0Won
13 Sep 2026Manchester UnitedAway1–0Won
08 Sep 2026FC PortoAway2–0Won
Manchester City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Manchester City performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Manchester City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Paris Saint Germain recent matches

Scores below are shown as Paris Saint Germain goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Le MansHome3–1Won
20 Sep 2026MarseilleAway2–1Won
13 Sep 2026Stade Brestois 29Away1–0Won
09 Sep 2026Slovan BratislavaHome6–1Won
04 Sep 2026MonacoHome1–2Lost
Paris Saint Germain detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Paris Saint Germain performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home6-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Paris Saint Germain goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away0
Goals for total6
Goals for average home6.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total6.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under0
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Manchester City predictions and analysis, Paris Saint Germain match tips, or more UEFA Champions League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.