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Liverpool vs Villarreal Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for UEFA Champions League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool badge Liverpool
VS

Final result4–3

Anfield

Match Finished

Villarreal badge Villarreal
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
LiverpoolProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
VillarrealProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Liverpool
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLiverpoolVillarreal
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total65.5%34.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Liverpool

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Villarreal

Recent form (last 5): L W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Villarreal 2–3 Liverpool (03 May 2022)
  2. Liverpool 2–0 Villarreal (27 Apr 2022)
  3. Liverpool 3–0 Villarreal (05 May 2016)
  4. Villarreal 1–0 Liverpool (28 Apr 2016)

Liverpool recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026BrentfordAway2–1Won
14 Oct 2026Lask LinzAway6–3Won
11 Oct 2026Manchester CityHome0–3Lost
20 Sep 2026BournemouthAway1–0Won
15 Sep 2026TottenhamHome3–1Won
Liverpool detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away3-6
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away6
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Liverpool goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away6
Goals for total8
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away6.00
Goals for average total4.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Villarreal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Villarreal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026ElcheHome0–0Draw
13 Oct 2026NapoliHome3–1Won
10 Oct 2026Real MadridAway0–1Lost
20 Sep 2026LevanteHome3–1Won
17 Sep 2026MalagaAway3–1Won
Villarreal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Villarreal performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Villarreal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away2
Goals for total5
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage75.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Liverpool predictions and analysis, Villarreal match tips, or more UEFA Champions League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.