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Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Friendlies Clubs, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Friendlies Clubs

Monterrey badge Monterrey
VS

Final result2–1

Match Finished

Toluca badge Toluca
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Monterrey or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
MonterreyProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
TolucaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Monterrey
Betting advice
Double chance : Monterrey or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMonterreyToluca
Form91.0%9.0%
Attack77.0%23.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals29.0%71.0%
Total54.8%45.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Monterrey

Recent form (last 5): W W W D

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Toluca

Recent form (last 5): L D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toluca 2–0 Monterrey (07 Sep 2026)
  2. Monterrey 0–1 Toluca (11 Jan 2026)
  3. Toluca 3–2 Monterrey (07 Dec 2025)
  4. Monterrey 1–0 Toluca (04 Dec 2025)
  5. Toluca 6–2 Monterrey (25 Sep 2025)
  6. Toluca 2–1 Monterrey (11 May 2025)
  7. Monterrey 3–2 Toluca (08 May 2025)
  8. Toluca 1–1 Monterrey (19 Jan 2025)
  9. Monterrey 1–2 Toluca (01 Sep 2024)
  10. Monterrey 0–0 Toluca (19 Feb 2024)

Monterrey recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monterrey goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Atlante FCAway2–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Cruz AzulHome1–0Won
13 Sep 2026Tigres UANLHome0–0Draw
07 Sep 2026TolucaAway0–2Lost
03 Sep 2026Club AmericaAway2–2Draw
Monterrey detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monterrey performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away3
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Monterrey goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away10
Goals for total10
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.50
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away3
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Toluca recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toluca goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Cruz AzulAway3–3Draw
21 Sep 2026Santos LagunaHome2–3Lost
16 Sep 2026PueblaAway1–0Won
13 Sep 2026AtlasHome5–2Won
07 Sep 2026MonterreyHome2–0Won
Toluca detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toluca performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Toluca goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away3
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away4
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Monterrey predictions and analysis, Toluca match tips, or more Friendlies Clubs predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.