FreeSureBets
Download appApp

USA vs Mexico Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Friendlies, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Friendlies

USA badge USA
VS

Final result3–0

State Farm Stadium

Match Finished

Mexico badge Mexico
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MexicoSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
USAProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MexicoProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Mexico
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Mexico

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorUSAMexico
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total46.6%53.4%

Team form and goal analysis

USA

Recent form (last 5): L W L W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Mexico

Recent form (last 5): W W W D D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. USA 1–2 Mexico (07 Jul 2025)
  2. Mexico 2–0 USA (16 Oct 2024)
  3. Mexico 0–2 USA (25 Mar 2024)
  4. USA 3–0 Mexico (16 Jun 2023)
  5. USA 1–1 Mexico (20 Apr 2023)
  6. Mexico 0–0 USA (25 Mar 2022)
  7. USA 2–0 Mexico (13 Nov 2021)
  8. USA 1–0 Mexico (02 Aug 2021)
  9. USA 3–2 Mexico (07 Jun 2021)
  10. USA 0–3 Mexico (07 Sep 2019)

USA recent matches

Scores below are shown as USA goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026ChileHome4–2Won
26 Sep 2026PeruHome4–1Won
07 Jul 2026BelgiumHome1–4Lost
02 Jul 2026Bosnia & HerzegovinaHome2–0Won
26 Jun 2026TürkiyeAway2–3Lost
USA detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

USA performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total6
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home3
Losses away0
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

USA goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away0
Goals for total14
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away0
Goals against total14
Goals against average home2.30
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Mexico recent matches

Scores below are shown as Mexico goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Sep 2026PeruHome1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026ColombiaHome1–1Draw
06 Jul 2026EnglandHome2–3Lost
01 Jul 2026EcuadorHome2–0Won
25 Jun 2026CzechiaAway3–0Won
Mexico detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Mexico performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total10
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home4
Draws away0
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Mexico goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away2
Goals for total17
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away0
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore USA predictions and analysis, Mexico match tips, or more Friendlies predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.