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USA vs Canada Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Friendlies, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Friendlies

USA badge USA
VS

Final result1–0

Allianz Field

Match Finished

Canada badge Canada
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or CanadaSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
USAProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
CanadaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Canada
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Canada

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorUSACanada
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence13.0%88.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total41.6%58.6%

Team form and goal analysis

USA

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Canada

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Canada 2–1 USA (22 Mar 2025)
  2. USA 1–2 Canada (07 Sep 2024)
  3. USA 2–2 Canada (10 Jul 2023)
  4. Canada 0–2 USA (19 Jun 2023)
  5. Canada 2–0 USA (30 Jan 2022)
  6. USA 1–1 Canada (06 Sep 2021)
  7. USA 1–0 Canada (18 Jul 2021)
  8. USA 4–1 Canada (16 Nov 2019)
  9. Canada 2–0 USA (16 Oct 2019)

USA recent matches

Scores below are shown as USA goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026MexicoHome3–0Won
30 Sep 2026ChileHome4–2Won
26 Sep 2026PeruHome4–1Won
07 Jul 2026BelgiumHome1–4Lost
02 Jul 2026Bosnia & HerzegovinaHome2–0Won
USA detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

USA performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total7
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home3
Losses away0
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

USA goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away0
Goals for total17
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away0
Goals against total14
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Canada recent matches

Scores below are shown as Canada goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026PeruHome2–0Won
27 Sep 2026ChileHome1–0Won
04 Jul 2026MoroccoHome0–3Lost
28 Jun 2026South AfricaAway1–0Won
24 Jun 2026SwitzerlandAway1–2Lost
Canada detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Canada performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total7
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Canada goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away0
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away0
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.40
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore USA predictions and analysis, Canada match tips, or more Friendlies predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.