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Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for CONCACAF Nations League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

CONCACAF Nations League

Bahamas badge Bahamas
VS

Final result2–3

Bethlehem Soccer Stadium

Match Finished

US Virgin Islands badge US Virgin Islands
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : US Virgin Islands and +3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
10%
HOME WIN
BahamasProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
US Virgin IslandsProbability
GOALS MARKET+3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
US Virgin Islands
Betting advice
Combo Winner : US Virgin Islands and +3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBahamasUS Virgin Islands
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack17.0%83.0%
Defence8.0%92.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total31.3%68.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Bahamas

Recent form (last 5): L L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

US Virgin Islands

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. US Virgin Islands 3–1 Bahamas (29 Sep 2026)
  2. Bahamas 3–1 US Virgin Islands (13 Oct 2024)
  3. US Virgin Islands 3–3 Bahamas (04 Sep 2024)

Bahamas recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bahamas goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Sep 2026US Virgin IslandsAway1–3Lost
23 Sep 2026Saint MartinHome0–8Lost
30 Mar 2026Cayman IslandsAway0–1Lost
26 Mar 2026AnguillaHome1–3Lost
15 Nov 2025British Virgin IslandsHome0–6Lost
Bahamas detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bahamas performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home0-8
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home8
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bahamas goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away1
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away3
Goals against total11
Goals against average home8.00
Goals against average away3.00
Goals against average total5.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

US Virgin Islands recent matches

Scores below are shown as US Virgin Islands goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026Saint MartinHome0–5Lost
29 Sep 2026BahamasHome3–1Won
26 Sep 2026Saint MartinAway2–0Won
29 Mar 2026Puerto RicoAway0–2Lost
25 Mar 2026American SamoaHome5–2Won
US Virgin Islands detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

US Virgin Islands performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total2
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

US Virgin Islands goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away2
Goals for total5
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under2
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bahamas predictions and analysis, US Virgin Islands match tips, or more CONCACAF Nations League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.