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Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ethiopia badge Ethiopia
VS

Final result0–1

Match Finished

Senegal badge Senegal
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ethiopia or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
EthiopiaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
SenegalProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Ethiopia
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Ethiopia or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorEthiopiaSenegal
Form86.0%14.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total72.0%28.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Ethiopia

Recent form (last 5): W W L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Senegal

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Ethiopia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ethiopia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026SudanAway0–1Lost
09 Jun 2026MalawiHome1–1Draw
06 Jun 2026MalawiHome1–0Won
31 Mar 2026Sao Tome and PrincipeHome1–0Won
Ethiopia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ethiopia performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ethiopia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away3
Goals for total4
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.30
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Senegal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Senegal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026MozambiqueAway1–1Draw
01 Jul 2026BelgiumAway2–3Lost
26 Jun 2026IraqHome5–0Won
23 Jun 2026NorwayAway2–3Lost
16 Jun 2026FranceAway1–3Lost
Senegal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Senegal performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Senegal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away1
Goals for total1
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Ethiopia predictions and analysis, Senegal match tips, or more Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.