Llantwit Major vs Newport City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAW Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

FAW Championship

VS

Final result2–3

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Llantwit Major or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Llantwit MajorProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Newport CityProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Llantwit Major
Betting advice
Double chance : Llantwit Major or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLlantwit MajorNewport City
Form77.0%23.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson21.0%79.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total49.8%50.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Llantwit Major

Recent form (last 5): W W L D W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Newport City

Recent form (last 5): L D D L D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Newport City 2–1 Llantwit Major (20 Feb 2026)
  2. Llantwit Major 2–2 Newport City (08 Nov 2025)
  3. Newport City 2–1 Llantwit Major (28 Mar 2025)
  4. Llantwit Major 1–1 Newport City (12 Oct 2024)
  5. Llantwit Major 2–0 Newport City (20 Jul 2024)

Llantwit Major recent matches

Scores below are shown as Llantwit Major goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Caerau (Ely)Away2–0Won
17 Oct 2026TrefelinAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026Pontardawe TownHome1–1Draw
06 Oct 2026Pontypridd TownAway1–4Lost
02 Oct 2026Carmarthen TownAway2–1Won
Llantwit Major detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Llantwit Major performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total10
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Llantwit Major goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away7
Goals for total10
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away16
Goals against total21
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.70
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Newport City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Newport City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23 Oct 2026Pontypridd TownHome4–4Draw
17 Oct 2026Carmarthen TownAway5–4Won
09 Oct 2026Caerphilly AthleticAway2–3Lost
03 Oct 2026Cardiff DraconiansAway1–1Draw
25 Sep 2026Afan LidoAway0–0Draw
Newport City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Newport City performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Newport City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away11
Goals for total16
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away5
Goals against total13
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage9.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Llantwit Major predictions and analysis, Newport City match tips, or more FAW Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.