Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAW Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

FAW Championship

VS

Richmond Park

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Aberystwyth Town and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 10%
10%
HOME WIN
Carmarthen TownProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Aberystwyth TownProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Aberystwyth Town
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Aberystwyth Town and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCarmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
Form29.0%71.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson26.0%74.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total44.3%55.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Carmarthen Town

Recent form (last 5): W L D L L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Aberystwyth Town

Recent form (last 5): W D W L W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Aberystwyth Town 1–1 Carmarthen Town (01 Jan 2026)
  2. Carmarthen Town 1–0 Aberystwyth Town (22 Aug 2025)
  3. Carmarthen Town —–— Aberystwyth Town (25 Apr 2020)
  4. Aberystwyth Town —–— Carmarthen Town (13 Mar 2020)
  5. Carmarthen Town 0–0 Aberystwyth Town (18 Oct 2019)
  6. Aberystwyth Town 3–2 Carmarthen Town (16 Aug 2019)
  7. Carmarthen Town 6–2 Aberystwyth Town (26 Apr 2019)
  8. Aberystwyth Town 3–2 Carmarthen Town (08 Mar 2019)
  9. Aberystwyth Town 1–1 Carmarthen Town (30 Nov 2018)
  10. Carmarthen Town 2–2 Aberystwyth Town (22 Sep 2018)

Carmarthen Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Carmarthen Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Pontardawe TownAway1–2Lost
23 Oct 2026Caerphilly AthleticHome1–3Lost
17 Oct 2026Newport CityHome4–5Lost
10 Oct 2026Cardiff DraconiansAway2–2Draw
02 Oct 2026Llantwit MajorHome1–2Lost
Carmarthen Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Carmarthen Town performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home4
Losses away1
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Carmarthen Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away9
Goals for total24
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away8
Goals against total26
Goals against average home2.60
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total2.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Aberystwyth Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aberystwyth Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Trethomas BluebirdsHome2–1Won
17 Oct 2026Prestatyn TownHome5–1Won
10 Oct 2026Caerau (Ely)Home0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026Pontypridd TownAway3–1Won
25 Sep 2026Swansea UniversityHome0–0Draw
Aberystwyth Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aberystwyth Town performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total10
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Aberystwyth Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away11
Goals for total24
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away3.70
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away5
Goals against total10
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Carmarthen Town predictions and analysis, Aberystwyth Town match tips, or more FAW Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.