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Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAW Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

FAW Championship

Caerau (Ely) badge Caerau (Ely)
VS

Final result1–3

Match Finished

Pontypridd Town badge Pontypridd Town
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Caerau (Ely)Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Pontypridd TownProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Pontypridd Town
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCaerau (Ely)Pontypridd Town
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total49.3%50.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Caerau (Ely)

Recent form (last 5): W W W L W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Pontypridd Town

Recent form (last 5): L W D D W

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pontypridd Town 0–0 Caerau (Ely) (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Caerau (Ely) 2–0 Pontypridd Town (25 Aug 2025)
  3. Caerau (Ely) 0–1 Pontypridd Town (04 Feb 2025)
  4. Pontypridd Town 1–0 Caerau (Ely) (23 Aug 2024)
  5. Caerau (Ely) —–— Pontypridd Town (25 Apr 2020)
  6. Pontypridd Town 4–4 Caerau (Ely) (25 Jan 2020)
  7. Pontypridd Town 3–1 Caerau (Ely) (19 Oct 2019)

Caerau (Ely) recent matches

Scores below are shown as Caerau (Ely) goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026Caerphilly AthleticAway1–0Won
23 Oct 2026Llantwit MajorHome0–2Lost
16 Oct 2026llanelli AFCHome6–0Won
10 Oct 2026Aberystwyth TownAway1–0Won
02 Oct 2026Afan LidoHome2–0Won
Caerau (Ely) detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Caerau (Ely) performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home3
Wins away4
Wins total7
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins5
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage33.33%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage66.67%
Penalty total3

Caerau (Ely) goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away13
Goals for total23
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.35%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.74%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.43%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away10
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Pontypridd Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Pontypridd Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026llanelli AFCHome4–0Won
23 Oct 2026Newport CityAway4–4Draw
10 Oct 2026Baglan DragonsAway1–1Draw
06 Oct 2026Llantwit MajorHome4–1Won
03 Oct 2026Aberystwyth TownHome1–3Lost
Pontypridd Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Pontypridd Town performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away3
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Pontypridd Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away18
Goals for total32
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away13
Goals against total21
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.20
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage11.76%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Caerau (Ely) predictions and analysis, Pontypridd Town match tips, or more FAW Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.