Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAW Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

FAW Championship

VS

Final result0–2

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Caerau (Ely) or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Caerau (Ely)Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Llantwit MajorProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Caerau (Ely)
Betting advice
Double chance : Caerau (Ely) or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCaerau (Ely)Llantwit Major
Form65.0%35.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence70.0%30.0%
Poisson79.0%21.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total63.3%36.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Caerau (Ely)

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Llantwit Major

Recent form (last 5): D W W L D

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Llantwit Major 1–4 Caerau (Ely) (28 Mar 2026)
  2. Caerau (Ely) 0–0 Llantwit Major (12 Sep 2025)
  3. Llantwit Major 1–0 Caerau (Ely) (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Caerau (Ely) 2–4 Llantwit Major (07 Feb 2025)
  5. Caerau (Ely) 3–2 Llantwit Major (02 Feb 2024)
  6. Llantwit Major 1–4 Caerau (Ely) (30 Sep 2023)
  7. Llantwit Major —–— Caerau (Ely) (14 Mar 2020)
  8. Caerau (Ely) 2–2 Llantwit Major (12 Oct 2019)

Caerau (Ely) recent matches

Scores below are shown as Caerau (Ely) goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16 Oct 2026llanelli AFCHome6–0Won
10 Oct 2026Aberystwyth TownAway1–0Won
02 Oct 2026Afan LidoHome2–0Won
26 Sep 2026Cardiff DraconiansAway3–1Won
11 Sep 2026llanelli AFCHome3–0Won
Caerau (Ely) detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Caerau (Ely) performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage33.33%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage66.67%
Penalty total3

Caerau (Ely) goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away12
Goals for total22
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away2.40
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.55%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away10
Goals against total18
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Llantwit Major recent matches

Scores below are shown as Llantwit Major goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026TrefelinAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026Pontardawe TownHome1–1Draw
06 Oct 2026Pontypridd TownAway1–4Lost
02 Oct 2026Carmarthen TownAway2–1Won
26 Sep 2026llanelli AFCHome2–0Won
Llantwit Major detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Llantwit Major performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Llantwit Major goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away5
Goals for total8
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away16
Goals against total21
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away3.20
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.05%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Caerau (Ely) predictions and analysis, Llantwit Major match tips, or more FAW Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.