FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAW Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

FAW Championship

Baglan Dragons badge Baglan Dragons
VS

Final result1–1

Match Finished

Pontypridd Town badge Pontypridd Town
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Baglan DragonsProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Pontypridd TownProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Pontypridd Town
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBaglan DragonsPontypridd Town
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson30.0%70.0%
H2H36.0%64.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total42.7%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Baglan Dragons

Recent form (last 5): L W L L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Pontypridd Town

Recent form (last 5): D L W L W

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pontypridd Town 2–0 Baglan Dragons (21 Feb 2026)
  2. Baglan Dragons 3–0 Pontypridd Town (27 Jul 2025)
  3. Pontypridd Town 1–0 Baglan Dragons (17 Jan 2025)
  4. Baglan Dragons 2–2 Pontypridd Town (26 Oct 2024)

Baglan Dragons recent matches

Scores below are shown as Baglan Dragons goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
02 Oct 2026llanelli AFCAway2–1Won
25 Sep 2026Carmarthen TownHome1–2Lost
12 Sep 2026Cardiff DraconiansAway1–2Lost
04 Sep 2026Afan LidoHome2–1Won
31 Aug 2026Caerphilly AthleticHome0–1Lost
Baglan Dragons detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Baglan Dragons performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away3
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total2

Baglan Dragons goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away5
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away3
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage36.36%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Pontypridd Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Pontypridd Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06 Oct 2026Llantwit MajorHome4–1Won
03 Oct 2026Aberystwyth TownHome1–3Lost
25 Sep 2026Caerphilly AthleticAway2–1Won
11 Sep 2026Afan LidoHome0–1Lost
28 Aug 2026Swansea UniversityAway4–4Draw
Pontypridd Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Pontypridd Town performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away3
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Pontypridd Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away13
Goals for total23
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away3.30
Goals for average total2.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away8
Goals against total16
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage36.36%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage9.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Baglan Dragons predictions and analysis, Pontypridd Town match tips, or more FAW Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.