Tampa Bay Sun W vs Lexington W Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Super League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Super League

VS

Final result1–1

Riverfront Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Lexington WSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Tampa Bay Sun WProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Lexington WProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lexington W
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Lexington W

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Tampa Bay Sun W

Recent form (last 5): D L W W D

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Lexington W

Recent form (last 5): W L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lexington W 1–0 Tampa Bay Sun W (16 May 2026)
  2. Lexington W 4–0 Tampa Bay Sun W (18 Apr 2026)
  3. Tampa Bay Sun W 1–1 Lexington W (23 Nov 2025)
  4. Lexington W 0–3 Tampa Bay Sun W (11 May 2025)
  5. Tampa Bay Sun W 4–1 Lexington W (13 Apr 2025)
  6. Tampa Bay Sun W 3–1 Lexington W (03 Nov 2024)
  7. Lexington W 2–3 Tampa Bay Sun W (08 Sep 2024)

Tampa Bay Sun W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tampa Bay Sun W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026DC Power WAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Fort Lauderdale United WHome2–1Won
30 Aug 2026Carolina Ascent WAway2–1Won
23 Aug 2026Sporting JAX WAway2–3Lost
16 Aug 2026Dallas Trinity WAway1–1Draw
Tampa Bay Sun W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tampa Bay Sun W performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total5
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Tampa Bay Sun W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away6
Goals for total8
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away6
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage42.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Lexington W recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lexington W goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Dallas Trinity WHome3–0Won
20 Sep 2026Sporting JAX WAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026Carolina Ascent WHome0–1Lost
29 Aug 2026DC Power WHome1–2Lost
16 Aug 2026Brooklyn WHome3–0Won
Lexington W detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lexington W performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Lexington W goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away1
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away0
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tampa Bay Sun W predictions and analysis, Lexington W match tips, or more USL Super League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.