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Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL League One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL League One

Sarasota Paradise badge Sarasota Paradise
VS

Final result2–3

Premier Sports Campus

Match Finished

Naples badge Naples
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Sarasota Paradise or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Sarasota ParadiseProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
NaplesProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sarasota Paradise
Betting advice
Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSarasota ParadiseNaples
Form48.0%52.0%
Attack69.0%31.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson62.0%38.0%
H2H33.0%67.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Sarasota Paradise

Recent form (last 5): W W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Naples

Recent form (last 5): D W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Naples 0–2 Sarasota Paradise (07 Jun 2026)
  2. Naples 2–0 Sarasota Paradise (12 Apr 2026)
  3. Sarasota Paradise 1–2 Naples (19 Mar 2025)

Sarasota Paradise recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sarasota Paradise goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Fort WayneAway3–1Won
11 Oct 2026Richmond KickersHome3–2Won
04 Oct 2026Charlotte IndependenceHome2–3Lost
26 Sep 2026Portland Hearts of PineAway4–1Won
20 Sep 2026Greenville TriumphHome6–0Won
Sarasota Paradise detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sarasota Paradise performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total30
Wins home7
Wins away4
Wins total11
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage25.00%
Penalty missed total3
Penalty missed percentage75.00%
Penalty total4

Sarasota Paradise goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away18
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage24.44%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage2.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away26
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Naples recent matches

Scores below are shown as Naples goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Corpus ChristiAway1–0Won
08 Oct 2026Richmond KickersHome2–0Won
04 Oct 2026NY CosmosHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026Chattanooga Red WolvesHome1–0Won
20 Sep 2026Fort WayneAway2–2Draw
Naples detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Naples performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home9
Wins away3
Wins total12
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home5
Losses away9
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses7
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage60.00%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage40.00%
Penalty total5

Naples goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away15
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage2.78%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.44%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away26
Goals against total44
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.30%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.28%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.93%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.63%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.91%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sarasota Paradise predictions and analysis, Naples match tips, or more USL League One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.