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Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL League One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL League One

Sarasota Paradise badge Sarasota Paradise
VS

Final result2–3

Premier Sports Campus

Match Finished

Charlotte Independence badge Charlotte Independence
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Sarasota Paradise or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Sarasota ParadiseProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Charlotte IndependenceProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sarasota Paradise
Betting advice
Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSarasota ParadiseCharlotte Independence
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack61.0%39.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total52.4%47.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Sarasota Paradise

Recent form (last 5): W D D W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Charlotte Independence

Recent form (last 5): L W D W D

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Charlotte Independence 3–1 Sarasota Paradise (16 Aug 2026)

Sarasota Paradise recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sarasota Paradise goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Portland Hearts of PineAway4–1Won
20 Sep 2026Greenville TriumphHome6–0Won
13 Sep 2026Forward MadisonAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026Spokane VelocityHome1–1Draw
03 Sep 2026NY CosmosAway2–1Won
Sarasota Paradise detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sarasota Paradise performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total27
Wins home6
Wins away3
Wins total9
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Sarasota Paradise goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away15
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage24.32%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage24.32%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.51%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away25
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Charlotte Independence recent matches

Scores below are shown as Charlotte Independence goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Fort WayneHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Richmond KickersAway2–1Won
17 Sep 2026BoiseAway1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Westchester SCHome5–4Won
06 Sep 2026Union OmahaAway0–2Lost
Charlotte Independence detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Charlotte Independence performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home13
Wins away4
Wins total17
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Charlotte Independence goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home42
Goals for total away22
Goals for total64
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total16
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.81%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.06%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total19
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage30.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.68%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.06%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage17.74%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away21
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sarasota Paradise predictions and analysis, Charlotte Independence match tips, or more USL League One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.