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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL League One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL League One

Portland Hearts of Pine badge Portland Hearts of Pine
VS

Final result1–4

Fitzpatrick Stadium

Match Finished

Sarasota Paradise badge Sarasota Paradise
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Sarasota ParadiseSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Portland Hearts of PineProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Sarasota ParadiseProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sarasota Paradise
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sarasota Paradise

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPortland Hearts of PineSarasota Paradise
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack39.0%61.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H13.0%88.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total37.7%62.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Portland Hearts of Pine

Recent form (last 5): L L W W D

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Sarasota Paradise

Recent form (last 5): D W D D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sarasota Paradise 2–2 Portland Hearts of Pine (30 Jul 2026)
  2. Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Sarasota Paradise (27 Jul 2026)
  3. Sarasota Paradise 1–0 Portland Hearts of Pine (29 Mar 2026)

Portland Hearts of Pine recent matches

Scores below are shown as Portland Hearts of Pine goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Chattanooga Red WolvesAway1–1Draw
14 Sep 2026AltaHome1–0Won
07 Sep 2026Westchester SCHome2–1Won
03 Sep 2026Charlotte IndependenceAway2–3Lost
30 Aug 2026Fort WayneHome1–4Lost
Portland Hearts of Pine detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Portland Hearts of Pine performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home3
Draws away6
Draws total9
Losses home5
Losses away6
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Portland Hearts of Pine goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away20
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.32%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.51%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.32%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage36.59%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away28
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.55%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.45%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Sarasota Paradise recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sarasota Paradise goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Greenville TriumphHome6–0Won
13 Sep 2026Forward MadisonAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026Spokane VelocityHome1–1Draw
03 Sep 2026NY CosmosAway2–1Won
23 Aug 2026Union OmahaAway1–1Draw
Sarasota Paradise detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sarasota Paradise performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total26
Wins home6
Wins away2
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away4
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Sarasota Paradise goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away11
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.12%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.21%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.15%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.15%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away24
Goals against total39
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.95%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Portland Hearts of Pine predictions and analysis, Sarasota Paradise match tips, or more USL League One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.