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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL League One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL League One

Portland Hearts of Pine badge Portland Hearts of Pine
VS

Final result4–1

Fitzpatrick Stadium

Match Finished

Charlotte Independence badge Charlotte Independence
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Charlotte IndependenceSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Portland Hearts of PineProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Charlotte IndependenceProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Charlotte Independence
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Charlotte Independence

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPortland Hearts of PineCharlotte Independence
Form13.0%87.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson34.0%66.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals54.0%46.0%
Total34.8%65.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Portland Hearts of Pine

Recent form (last 5): D L D L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Charlotte Independence

Recent form (last 5): W D W W W

Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Charlotte Independence 3–2 Portland Hearts of Pine (03 Sep 2026)
  2. Portland Hearts of Pine 4–2 Charlotte Independence (30 Aug 2025)
  3. Charlotte Independence 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine (20 Jul 2025)

Portland Hearts of Pine recent matches

Scores below are shown as Portland Hearts of Pine goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Forward MadisonAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026BoiseHome1–2Lost
04 Oct 2026Spokane VelocityAway3–3Draw
26 Sep 2026Sarasota ParadiseHome1–4Lost
20 Sep 2026Chattanooga Red WolvesAway1–1Draw
Portland Hearts of Pine detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Portland Hearts of Pine performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home3
Draws away7
Draws total10
Losses home7
Losses away7
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Portland Hearts of Pine goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away23
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.87%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage34.78%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home24
Goals against total away33
Goals against total57
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.91%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.55%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.36%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Charlotte Independence recent matches

Scores below are shown as Charlotte Independence goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Greenville TriumphAway3–0Won
11 Oct 2026NY CosmosHome3–0Won
04 Oct 2026Sarasota ParadiseAway3–2Won
26 Sep 2026Fort WayneHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Richmond KickersAway2–1Won
Charlotte Independence detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Charlotte Independence performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home14
Wins away6
Wins total20
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Charlotte Independence goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home45
Goals for total away28
Goals for total73
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total2.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total16
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.54%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.27%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total21
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage29.58%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.45%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.45%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.72%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away23
Goals against total42
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.45%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.82%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.36%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage31.82%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Portland Hearts of Pine predictions and analysis, Charlotte Independence match tips, or more USL League One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.