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Charlotte Independence vs Naples Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL League One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL League One

Charlotte Independence badge Charlotte Independence
VS

Final result5–1

American Legion Memorial Stadium

Match Finished

Naples badge Naples
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or NaplesSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Charlotte IndependenceProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
NaplesProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Naples
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Naples

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCharlotte IndependenceNaples
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total50.5%49.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Charlotte Independence

Recent form (last 5): D W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Naples

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Charlotte Independence 4–3 Naples (14 Jun 2026)
  2. Naples 1–5 Charlotte Independence (04 Jun 2026)
  3. Naples 2–0 Charlotte Independence (26 Oct 2025)
  4. Charlotte Independence 0–1 Naples (13 Sep 2025)

Charlotte Independence recent matches

Scores below are shown as Charlotte Independence goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Portland Hearts of PineAway1–4Lost
18 Oct 2026Greenville TriumphAway3–0Won
11 Oct 2026NY CosmosHome3–0Won
04 Oct 2026Sarasota ParadiseAway3–2Won
26 Sep 2026Fort WayneHome1–1Draw
Charlotte Independence detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Charlotte Independence performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home14
Wins away6
Wins total20
Draws home1
Draws away5
Draws total6
Losses home1
Losses away5
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Charlotte Independence goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home45
Goals for total away29
Goals for total74
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total16
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total22
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage30.56%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.44%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over30
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away27
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.58%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Naples recent matches

Scores below are shown as Naples goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Spokane VelocityHome1–0Won
22 Oct 2026Sarasota ParadiseAway3–2Won
11 Oct 2026Corpus ChristiAway1–0Won
08 Oct 2026Richmond KickersHome2–0Won
04 Oct 2026NY CosmosHome2–1Won
Naples detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Naples performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home10
Wins away4
Wins total14
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home5
Losses away9
Losses total14
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses7
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage60.00%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage40.00%
Penalty total5

Naples goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away18
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage2.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away28
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.89%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.78%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.89%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Charlotte Independence predictions and analysis, Naples match tips, or more USL League One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.