Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

VS

Final result1–1

Al Lang Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Tampa Bay RowdiesProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Miami FCProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Betting advice
Double chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorTampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total61.0%39.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Recent form (last 5): D L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Miami FC

Recent form (last 5): W W W L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–2 Miami FC (04 Oct 2026)
  2. Miami FC 2–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies (26 Jul 2026)
  3. Miami FC 1–4 Tampa Bay Rowdies (17 May 2026)
  4. Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–1 Miami FC (15 Jun 2025)
  5. Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–3 Miami FC (27 Apr 2025)
  6. Miami FC 1–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies (23 Mar 2025)
  7. Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC (25 Aug 2024)
  8. Miami FC 2–5 Tampa Bay Rowdies (12 Apr 2024)
  9. Miami FC 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies (27 Aug 2023)
  10. Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC (09 Apr 2023)

Tampa Bay Rowdies recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tampa Bay Rowdies goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Sporting JAXHome2–0Won
18 Oct 2026Detroit CityHome1–0Won
11 Oct 2026Indy ElevenAway3–1Won
04 Oct 2026Miami FCHome1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026San AntonioAway0–0Draw
Tampa Bay Rowdies detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tampa Bay Rowdies performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home10
Wins away8
Wins total18
Draws home2
Draws away5
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total16
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Tampa Bay Rowdies goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home32
Goals for total away20
Goals for total52
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.73%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.80%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage3.92%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total20
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage39.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away10
Goals against total26
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.81%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage3.70%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.93%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Miami FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Miami FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Charleston BatteryHome1–2Lost
11 Oct 2026Loudoun UnitedHome0–2Lost
04 Oct 2026Tampa Bay RowdiesAway2–1Won
01 Oct 2026Sporting JAXHome4–1Won
27 Sep 2026Indy ElevenAway2–0Won
Miami FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Miami FC performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total30
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home6
Losses away6
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Miami FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away14
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.21%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home27
Goals against total away22
Goals against total49
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.20%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.20%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.37%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.37%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Tampa Bay Rowdies predictions and analysis, Miami FC match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.