Sporting JAX vs Louisville City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

VS

Final result0–2

Hodges Stadium

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Louisville City and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 0%
0%
HOME WIN
Sporting JAXProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
Louisville CityProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Louisville City
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Louisville City and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSporting JAXLouisville City
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack15.0%85.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson29.0%71.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total24.7%75.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Sporting JAX

Recent form (last 5): L L L L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Louisville City

Recent form (last 5): L W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Louisville City 1–0 Sporting JAX (18 Apr 2026)

Sporting JAX recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sporting JAX goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026Birmingham LegionHome0–1Lost
01 Oct 2026Miami FCAway1–4Lost
26 Sep 2026Loudoun UnitedHome1–4Lost
17 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Rhode IslandHome0–3Lost
Sporting JAX detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sporting JAX performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home9
Losses away11
Losses total20
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses7
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home2-6
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home6
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Sporting JAX goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away12
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home39
Goals against total away35
Goals against total74
Goals against average home2.80
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total2.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total11
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.86%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.16%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.46%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total22
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.73%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Louisville City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Louisville City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Indy ElevenHome4–1Won
11 Oct 2026Charleston BatteryAway2–0Won
04 Oct 2026Hartford AthleticAway1–0Won
26 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticAway2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026Loudoun UnitedHome2–1Won
Louisville City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Louisville City performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Louisville City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home22
Goals for total away27
Goals for total49
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away26
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.90%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sporting JAX predictions and analysis, Louisville City match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.