San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

VS

Final result1–0

Toyota Field

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or New Mexico United and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
San AntonioProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
New Mexico United
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or New Mexico United and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSan AntonioNew Mexico United
Form30.0%70.0%
Attack13.0%88.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals45.0%55.0%
Total41.5%58.7%

Team form and goal analysis

San Antonio

Recent form (last 5): L D D L D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): D L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. New Mexico United 1–2 San Antonio (30 Aug 2026)
  2. San Antonio 1–0 New Mexico United (22 Mar 2026)
  3. New Mexico United 2–0 San Antonio (02 Nov 2025)
  4. San Antonio 0–1 New Mexico United (07 Sep 2025)
  5. San Antonio 2–2 New Mexico United (27 Jul 2025)
  6. New Mexico United 4–2 San Antonio (22 Jun 2025)
  7. San Antonio 2–3 New Mexico United (30 Jun 2024)
  8. New Mexico United 2–1 San Antonio (26 May 2024)
  9. New Mexico United 0–3 San Antonio (13 Aug 2023)
  10. San Antonio 2–1 New Mexico United (28 May 2023)

San Antonio recent matches

Scores below are shown as San Antonio goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Oakland RootsAway0–0Draw
04 Oct 2026Las Vegas LightsAway0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026Tampa Bay RowdiesHome0–0Draw
21 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicAway0–0Draw
12 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway1–2Lost
San Antonio detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

San Antonio performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home5
Draws away7
Draws total12
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home6
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total13
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total2
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total2

San Antonio goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away15
Goals for total29
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.90%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.24%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.69%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away17
Goals against total29
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.24%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.34%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.69%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.34%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.24%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Monterey BayHome3–1Won
05 Oct 2026Phoenix RisingHome2–1Won
01 Oct 2026FC TulsaAway0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway0–0Draw
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away18
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.91%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away15
Goals against total33
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage19.35%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.68%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.45%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.81%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.13%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.58%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore San Antonio predictions and analysis, New Mexico United match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.