FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Sacramento Republic badge Sacramento Republic
VS

Final result3–2

Heart Health Park

Match Finished

Las Vegas Lights badge Las Vegas Lights
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Sacramento Republic or drawSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Sacramento RepublicProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
Las Vegas LightsProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sacramento Republic
Betting advice
Double chance : Sacramento Republic or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSacramento RepublicLas Vegas Lights
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson67.0%33.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals92.0%8.0%
Total72.8%27.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Sacramento Republic

Recent form (last 5): D D W D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Las Vegas Lights

Recent form (last 5): L L L W D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Sacramento Republic (12 Apr 2026)
  2. Las Vegas Lights 0–2 Sacramento Republic (05 Jul 2025)
  3. Sacramento Republic 4–0 Las Vegas Lights (01 Jun 2025)
  4. Sacramento Republic 5–0 Las Vegas Lights (18 May 2025)
  5. Las Vegas Lights 0–0 Sacramento Republic (02 Nov 2024)
  6. Las Vegas Lights 2–1 Sacramento Republic (22 Sep 2024)
  7. Sacramento Republic 0–1 Las Vegas Lights (04 Jul 2024)
  8. Sacramento Republic 2–0 Las Vegas Lights (02 Oct 2023)
  9. Las Vegas Lights 1–2 Sacramento Republic (30 Jul 2023)
  10. Las Vegas Lights 2–1 Sacramento Republic (21 Aug 2022)

Sacramento Republic recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sacramento Republic goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026New Mexico UnitedAway3–2Won
21 Sep 2026San AntonioHome0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026Detroit CityHome1–0Won
06 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Monterey BayAway1–1Draw
Sacramento Republic detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sacramento Republic performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home7
Wins away3
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away7
Draws total10
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Sacramento Republic goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away13
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.12%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.12%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.12%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.15%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.30%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away13
Goals against total22
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage31.82%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.64%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Las Vegas Lights recent matches

Scores below are shown as Las Vegas Lights goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway2–0Won
06 Sep 2026New Mexico UnitedHome1–2Lost
30 Aug 2026Charleston BatteryHome0–2Lost
23 Aug 2026LexingtonAway0–2Lost
Las Vegas Lights detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Las Vegas Lights performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total25
Wins home4
Wins away5
Wins total9
Draws home5
Draws away1
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Las Vegas Lights goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away18
Goals for total32
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.71%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.59%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away21
Goals against total35
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.12%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.15%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.21%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.15%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sacramento Republic predictions and analysis, Las Vegas Lights match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.