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Phoenix Rising vs Lexington Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Phoenix Rising badge Phoenix Rising
VS

Final result3–3

Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Match Finished

Lexington badge Lexington
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Phoenix RisingProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LexingtonProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lexington
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPhoenix RisingLexington
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack32.0%68.0%
Defence35.0%65.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total36.5%63.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Phoenix Rising

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Lexington

Recent form (last 5): W W W D W

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lexington 1–0 Phoenix Rising (09 Aug 2026)
  2. Lexington 2–0 Phoenix Rising (10 Aug 2025)
  3. Phoenix Rising 0–1 Lexington (05 Jul 2025)

Phoenix Rising recent matches

Scores below are shown as Phoenix Rising goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Orange County SCAway3–1Won
11 Oct 2026Las Vegas LightsHome3–2Won
05 Oct 2026New Mexico UnitedAway1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway0–3Lost
20 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome1–3Lost
Phoenix Rising detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Phoenix Rising performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home7
Wins away3
Wins total10
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total7

Phoenix Rising goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away16
Goals for total42
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.76%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away23
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.36%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.36%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Lexington recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lexington goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Las Vegas LightsAway5–3Won
10 Oct 2026FC TulsaHome0–0Draw
04 Oct 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome3–1Won
27 Sep 2026Monterey BayAway3–2Won
20 Sep 2026Orange County SCHome6–0Won
Lexington detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lexington performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Lexington goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away26
Goals for total54
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.54%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away22
Goals against total36
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.16%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.26%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.95%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Phoenix Rising predictions and analysis, Lexington match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.