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Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Phoenix Rising badge Phoenix Rising
VS

Final result3–2

Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Match Finished

Las Vegas Lights badge Las Vegas Lights
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Las Vegas LightsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Phoenix RisingProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Las Vegas LightsProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Las Vegas Lights
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Las Vegas Lights

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPhoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence38.0%63.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total42.0%58.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Phoenix Rising

Recent form (last 5): D W L L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Las Vegas Lights

Recent form (last 5): L W D L W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Phoenix Rising (02 Aug 2026)
  2. Phoenix Rising 0–1 Las Vegas Lights (14 Feb 2026)
  3. Phoenix Rising 0–0 Las Vegas Lights (06 Sep 2025)
  4. Las Vegas Lights 0–1 Phoenix Rising (29 May 2025)
  5. Phoenix Rising 1–2 Las Vegas Lights (29 Sep 2024)
  6. Las Vegas Lights 0–0 Phoenix Rising (02 Jun 2024)
  7. Las Vegas Lights 2–3 Phoenix Rising (27 Aug 2023)
  8. Phoenix Rising 0–1 Las Vegas Lights (27 May 2023)
  9. Phoenix Rising 0–0 Las Vegas Lights (07 Aug 2022)
  10. Las Vegas Lights 3–2 Phoenix Rising (25 Jun 2022)

Phoenix Rising recent matches

Scores below are shown as Phoenix Rising goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05 Oct 2026New Mexico UnitedAway1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway0–3Lost
20 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026FC TulsaHome2–1Won
06 Sep 2026Monterey BayAway1–1Draw
Phoenix Rising detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Phoenix Rising performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home6
Wins away2
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Phoenix Rising goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away13
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.71%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.43%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away22
Goals against total40
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.51%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage19.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage19.51%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Las Vegas Lights recent matches

Scores below are shown as Las Vegas Lights goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026San AntonioHome1–0Won
01 Oct 2026Sacramento RepublicAway2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway2–0Won
06 Sep 2026New Mexico UnitedHome1–2Lost
Las Vegas Lights detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Las Vegas Lights performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home5
Draws away1
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away7
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Las Vegas Lights goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away20
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.22%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.62%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.92%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away24
Goals against total38
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.89%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.78%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Phoenix Rising predictions and analysis, Las Vegas Lights match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.