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New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

New Mexico United badge New Mexico United
VS

Final result2–3

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Match Finished

Sacramento Republic badge Sacramento Republic
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Sacramento RepublicSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Sacramento RepublicProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sacramento Republic
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sacramento Republic

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals36.0%64.0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Team form and goal analysis

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): L W D D D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Sacramento Republic

Recent form (last 5): D D D W D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sacramento Republic 0–1 New Mexico United (21 Jun 2026)
  2. New Mexico United 0–2 Sacramento Republic (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Sacramento Republic 2–1 New Mexico United (09 Mar 2025)
  4. Sacramento Republic 4–0 New Mexico United (30 Sep 2024)
  5. New Mexico United 3–1 Sacramento Republic (19 Sep 2024)
  6. Sacramento Republic 1–0 New Mexico United (22 Oct 2023)
  7. Sacramento Republic 0–0 New Mexico United (21 Sep 2023)
  8. New Mexico United 3–0 Sacramento Republic (23 Jul 2023)
  9. Sacramento Republic 2–0 New Mexico United (23 Oct 2022)
  10. New Mexico United 1–2 Sacramento Republic (04 Aug 2022)

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026Birmingham LegionAway4–4Draw
12 Sep 2026Indy ElevenHome2–2Draw
06 Sep 2026Las Vegas LightsAway2–1Won
30 Aug 2026San AntonioHome1–2Lost
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total24
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home19
Goals for total away18
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.64%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under23
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away14
Goals against total27
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Sacramento Republic recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sacramento Republic goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Sep 2026San AntonioHome0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026Detroit CityHome1–0Won
06 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Monterey BayAway1–1Draw
23 Aug 2026Phoenix RisingHome2–2Draw
Sacramento Republic detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sacramento Republic performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total24
Wins home7
Wins away2
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away7
Draws total10
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Sacramento Republic goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away10
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under23
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away11
Goals against total20
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage35.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore New Mexico United predictions and analysis, Sacramento Republic match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.