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New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

New Mexico United badge New Mexico United
VS

Final result2–1

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Match Finished

Phoenix Rising badge Phoenix Rising
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : New Mexico United or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Phoenix RisingProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
New Mexico United
Betting advice
Double chance : New Mexico United or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Form30.0%70.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Team form and goal analysis

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): D D D L L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Phoenix Rising

Recent form (last 5): W D W L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. New Mexico United 4–0 Phoenix Rising (07 Jun 2026)
  2. Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United (12 Apr 2026)
  3. Phoenix Rising 0–1 New Mexico United (05 Oct 2025)
  4. Phoenix Rising 3–3 New Mexico United (01 Jun 2025)
  5. New Mexico United 1–2 Phoenix Rising (11 May 2025)
  6. New Mexico United 2–1 Phoenix Rising (04 Nov 2024)
  7. New Mexico United 1–2 Phoenix Rising (10 Oct 2024)
  8. Phoenix Rising 0–1 New Mexico United (31 Mar 2024)
  9. Phoenix Rising 1–2 New Mexico United (08 Oct 2023)
  10. New Mexico United 1–3 Phoenix Rising (22 Jun 2023)

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026FC TulsaAway0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026Birmingham LegionAway4–4Draw
12 Sep 2026Indy ElevenHome2–2Draw
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away18
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.32%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.83%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away15
Goals against total31
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.69%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.34%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.90%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.79%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Phoenix Rising recent matches

Scores below are shown as Phoenix Rising goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway0–3Lost
20 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026FC TulsaHome2–1Won
06 Sep 2026Monterey BayAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Indy ElevenHome2–1Won
Phoenix Rising detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Phoenix Rising performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home6
Wins away2
Wins total8
Draws home4
Draws away5
Draws total9
Losses home3
Losses away6
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

Phoenix Rising goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away12
Goals for total35
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.82%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage32.35%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away20
Goals against total38
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.82%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.95%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore New Mexico United predictions and analysis, Phoenix Rising match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.