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New Mexico United vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

New Mexico United badge New Mexico United
VS

Final result3–1

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

Match Finished

Monterey Bay badge Monterey Bay
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : New Mexico United or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Monterey BayProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
New Mexico United
Betting advice
Double chance : New Mexico United or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNew Mexico UnitedMonterey Bay
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson71.0%29.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals63.0%38.0%
Total59.3%40.8%

Team form and goal analysis

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): D D L L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Monterey Bay

Recent form (last 5): D D L L W

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Monterey Bay 2–5 New Mexico United (09 Aug 2026)
  2. Monterey Bay 1–1 New Mexico United (21 Sep 2025)
  3. New Mexico United 1–0 Monterey Bay (24 Apr 2025)
  4. New Mexico United 3–2 Monterey Bay (18 Aug 2024)
  5. Monterey Bay 1–0 New Mexico United (03 Jun 2024)
  6. New Mexico United 2–1 Monterey Bay (14 May 2023)
  7. Monterey Bay 4–2 New Mexico United (09 Apr 2023)
  8. New Mexico United 2–0 Monterey Bay (21 Aug 2022)
  9. Monterey Bay 1–1 New Mexico United (03 Jul 2022)

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05 Oct 2026Phoenix RisingHome2–1Won
01 Oct 2026FC TulsaAway0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026Birmingham LegionAway4–4Draw
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home8
Wins away5
Wins total13
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away18
Goals for total41
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.95%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.98%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.58%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.91%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away15
Goals against total32
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Monterey Bay recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monterey Bay goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026Orange County SCAway2–1Won
27 Sep 2026LexingtonHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Charleston BatteryAway0–1Lost
06 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingHome1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Sacramento RepublicHome1–1Draw
Monterey Bay detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monterey Bay performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home6
Losses away10
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Monterey Bay goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away12
Goals for total29
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage32.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home20
Goals against total away27
Goals against total47
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.56%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.44%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.78%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.44%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore New Mexico United predictions and analysis, Monterey Bay match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.