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Monterey Bay vs Lexington Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Monterey Bay badge Monterey Bay
VS

Final result2–3

Cardinale Stadium

Match Finished

Lexington badge Lexington
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : LexingtonSelection confidence: 45%
10%
HOME WIN
Monterey BayProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LexingtonProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lexington
Betting advice
Winner : Lexington

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMonterey BayLexington
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack24.0%76.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson40.0%60.0%
H2H36.0%64.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Monterey Bay

Recent form (last 5): D L D D L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Lexington

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lexington 3–2 Monterey Bay (02 Aug 2026)
  2. Lexington 3–1 Monterey Bay (09 May 2026)
  3. Monterey Bay 2–1 Lexington (08 Jun 2025)
  4. Lexington 0–0 Monterey Bay (20 Apr 2025)

Monterey Bay recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monterey Bay goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Charleston BatteryAway0–1Lost
06 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingHome1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026Sacramento RepublicHome1–1Draw
23 Aug 2026Rhode IslandAway1–3Lost
16 Aug 2026Oakland RootsAway1–1Draw
Monterey Bay detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monterey Bay performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away10
Losses total15
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Monterey Bay goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away10
Goals for total25
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away26
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.83%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.07%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.39%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Lexington recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lexington goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Orange County SCHome6–0Won
13 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway4–1Won
06 Sep 2026Sporting JAXAway2–3Lost
30 Aug 2026Colorado SpringsHome0–1Lost
27 Aug 2026New Mexico UnitedAway1–2Lost
Lexington detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lexington performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total25
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Lexington goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away18
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.51%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.07%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away17
Goals against total30
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.13%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Monterey Bay predictions and analysis, Lexington match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.