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Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Monterey Bay badge Monterey Bay
VS

Final result2–1

Cardinale Stadium

Match Finished

Las Vegas Lights badge Las Vegas Lights
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Las Vegas LightsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Monterey BayProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Las Vegas LightsProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Las Vegas Lights
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Las Vegas Lights

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMonterey BayLas Vegas Lights
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals30.0%70.0%
Total37.7%62.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Monterey Bay

Recent form (last 5): L L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Las Vegas Lights

Recent form (last 5): D L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Monterey Bay 2–3 Las Vegas Lights (12 Jul 2026)
  2. Las Vegas Lights 1–0 Monterey Bay (29 Mar 2026)
  3. Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights (26 Oct 2025)
  4. Las Vegas Lights 2–0 Monterey Bay (15 Jun 2025)
  5. Las Vegas Lights 0–0 Monterey Bay (15 Sep 2024)
  6. Monterey Bay 3–1 Las Vegas Lights (14 Apr 2024)
  7. Monterey Bay 3–2 Las Vegas Lights (17 Sep 2023)
  8. Las Vegas Lights 1–2 Monterey Bay (11 Jun 2023)
  9. Las Vegas Lights 4–0 Monterey Bay (28 Sep 2022)
  10. Monterey Bay 1–0 Las Vegas Lights (08 May 2022)

Monterey Bay recent matches

Scores below are shown as Monterey Bay goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Colorado SpringsHome0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026New Mexico UnitedAway1–3Lost
04 Oct 2026Orange County SCAway2–1Won
27 Sep 2026LexingtonHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Charleston BatteryAway0–1Lost
Monterey Bay detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Monterey Bay performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home7
Losses away11
Losses total18
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-5
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Monterey Bay goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away13
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away30
Goals against total51
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.20%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.41%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.12%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.49%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.45%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Las Vegas Lights recent matches

Scores below are shown as Las Vegas Lights goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026LexingtonHome3–5Lost
11 Oct 2026Phoenix RisingAway2–3Lost
04 Oct 2026San AntonioHome1–0Won
01 Oct 2026Sacramento RepublicAway2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticHome1–1Draw
Las Vegas Lights detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Las Vegas Lights performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home5
Draws away1
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away8
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home3-5
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Las Vegas Lights goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away22
Goals for total40
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.81%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away27
Goals against total46
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.36%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.91%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage22.73%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.73%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.36%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.91%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Monterey Bay predictions and analysis, Las Vegas Lights match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.