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Louisville City vs Miami FC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Louisville City badge Louisville City
VS

Lynn Family Stadium

Miami FC badge Miami FC
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Louisville City or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Louisville CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Miami FCProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Louisville City
Betting advice
Double chance : Louisville City or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLouisville CityMiami FC
Form65.0%35.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence88.0%13.0%
Poisson63.0%37.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals68.0%32.0%
Total69.5%30.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Louisville City

Recent form (last 5): W W W D W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Miami FC

Recent form (last 5): W W L L D

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City (24 May 2026)
  2. Louisville City 4–1 Miami FC (14 Mar 2026)
  3. Louisville City 1–0 Miami FC (12 Oct 2025)
  4. Miami FC 2–4 Louisville City (17 Aug 2025)
  5. Louisville City 3–0 Miami FC (03 Oct 2024)
  6. Miami FC 1–2 Louisville City (02 Jun 2024)
  7. Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City (21 Sep 2023)
  8. Louisville City 3–1 Miami FC (14 May 2023)
  9. Miami FC 1–0 Louisville City (28 Aug 2022)
  10. Louisville City 2–0 Miami FC (20 Mar 2022)

Louisville City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Louisville City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHome1–0Won
25 Oct 2026Detroit CityHome0–0Draw
22 Oct 2026Sporting JAXAway2–0Won
18 Oct 2026Indy ElevenHome4–1Won
11 Oct 2026Charleston BatteryAway2–0Won
Louisville City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Louisville City performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total31
Wins home8
Wins away6
Wins total14
Draws home4
Draws away4
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home5
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Louisville City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away29
Goals for total52
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.62%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.23%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage1.92%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home17
Goals against total away26
Goals against total43
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.63%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.91%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.60%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Miami FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Miami FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Tampa Bay RowdiesAway1–1Draw
18 Oct 2026Charleston BatteryHome1–2Lost
11 Oct 2026Loudoun UnitedHome0–2Lost
04 Oct 2026Tampa Bay RowdiesAway2–1Won
01 Oct 2026Sporting JAXHome4–1Won
Miami FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Miami FC performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total31
Wins home5
Wins away4
Wins total9
Draws home4
Draws away6
Draws total10
Losses home6
Losses away6
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total11
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage87.50%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage12.50%
Penalty total8

Miami FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away15
Goals for total40
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage24.44%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.89%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage24.44%
Goals for minute · 106-120 · total5
Goals for minute · 106-120 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home27
Goals against total away23
Goals against total50
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.26%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.52%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.96%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.93%
Goals against minute · 106-120 · total4
Goals against minute · 106-120 · percentage7.41%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Louisville City predictions and analysis, Miami FC match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.