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Louisville City vs Indy Eleven Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Louisville City badge Louisville City
VS

Final result4–1

Lynn Family Stadium

Match Finished

Indy Eleven badge Indy Eleven
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Louisville City or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Louisville CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Indy ElevenProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Louisville City
Betting advice
Double chance : Louisville City or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLouisville CityIndy Eleven
Form89.0%11.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total70.5%29.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Louisville City

Recent form (last 5): D L W D W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Indy Eleven

Recent form (last 5): L L L D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City (23 Aug 2026)
  2. Louisville City 2–0 Indy Eleven (05 Oct 2025)
  3. Indy Eleven 1–3 Louisville City (31 Aug 2025)
  4. Indy Eleven 2–2 Louisville City (06 Oct 2024)
  5. Louisville City 5–3 Indy Eleven (06 Apr 2024)
  6. Louisville City 2–0 Indy Eleven (30 Jul 2023)
  7. Indy Eleven 0–1 Louisville City (28 May 2023)
  8. Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville City (01 Sep 2022)
  9. Louisville City 1–1 Indy Eleven (26 Mar 2022)
  10. Indy Eleven 1–0 Louisville City (17 Oct 2021)

Louisville City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Louisville City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Charleston BatteryAway2–0Won
04 Oct 2026Hartford AthleticAway1–0Won
26 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticAway2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026Loudoun UnitedHome2–1Won
13 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome1–2Lost
Louisville City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Louisville City performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home6
Wins away5
Wins total11
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Louisville City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away27
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.74%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away26
Goals against total42
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.63%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.63%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage29.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.20%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.07%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Indy Eleven recent matches

Scores below are shown as Indy Eleven goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Tampa Bay RowdiesHome1–3Lost
04 Oct 2026Loudoun UnitedAway1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026Miami FCHome0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Oakland RootsHome0–1Lost
16 Sep 2026BrooklynHome4–0Won
Indy Eleven detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Indy Eleven performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home8
Wins away1
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Indy Eleven goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home24
Goals for total away10
Goals for total34
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.12%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.15%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage24.24%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.21%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away20
Goals against total36
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.41%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.03%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage2.70%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Louisville City predictions and analysis, Indy Eleven match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.