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Lexington vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Lexington badge Lexington
VS

Final result3–1

Toyota Stadium

Match Finished

El Paso Locomotive badge El Paso Locomotive
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or El Paso LocomotiveSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
LexingtonProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
El Paso LocomotiveProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
El Paso Locomotive
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or El Paso Locomotive

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLexingtonEl Paso Locomotive
Form41.0%59.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson45.0%55.0%
H2H33.0%67.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total45.3%54.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Lexington

Recent form (last 5): L L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

El Paso Locomotive

Recent form (last 5): W W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. El Paso Locomotive 1–4 Lexington (31 May 2026)
  2. Lexington 1–2 El Paso Locomotive (12 Oct 2025)
  3. El Paso Locomotive 2–1 Lexington (06 Apr 2025)

Lexington recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lexington goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Monterey BayAway3–2Won
20 Sep 2026Orange County SCHome6–0Won
13 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway4–1Won
06 Sep 2026Sporting JAXAway2–3Lost
30 Aug 2026Colorado SpringsHome0–1Lost
Lexington detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lexington performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home8
Wins away4
Wins total12
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Lexington goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home25
Goals for total away21
Goals for total46
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.91%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage11.36%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away19
Goals against total32
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.71%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.71%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

El Paso Locomotive recent matches

Scores below are shown as El Paso Locomotive goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026FC TulsaHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingAway3–1Won
13 Sep 2026Louisville CityAway2–1Won
30 Aug 2026Loudoun UnitedHome4–1Won
27 Aug 2026Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHome2–1Won
El Paso Locomotive detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

El Paso Locomotive performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total26
Wins home6
Wins away8
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

El Paso Locomotive goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away24
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage2.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away13
Goals against total32
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total7
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Lexington predictions and analysis, El Paso Locomotive match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.