FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Las Vegas Lights badge Las Vegas Lights
VS

Final result3–5

Cashman Field

Match Finished

Lexington badge Lexington
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or LexingtonSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Las Vegas LightsProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LexingtonProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Lexington
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Lexington

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLas Vegas LightsLexington
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total43.7%56.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Las Vegas Lights

Recent form (last 5): W D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Lexington

Recent form (last 5): W W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lexington 2–0 Las Vegas Lights (23 Aug 2026)
  2. Las Vegas Lights 2–1 Lexington (03 May 2026)
  3. Las Vegas Lights 1–0 Lexington (31 Aug 2025)
  4. Lexington 0–0 Las Vegas Lights (13 Apr 2025)

Las Vegas Lights recent matches

Scores below are shown as Las Vegas Lights goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Phoenix RisingAway2–3Lost
04 Oct 2026San AntonioHome1–0Won
01 Oct 2026Sacramento RepublicAway2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticHome1–1Draw
13 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway2–0Won
Las Vegas Lights detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Las Vegas Lights performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home5
Draws away1
Draws total6
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Las Vegas Lights goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away22
Goals for total37
Goals for average home1.10
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away27
Goals against total41
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.26%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage28.21%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Lexington recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lexington goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026FC TulsaHome0–0Draw
04 Oct 2026El Paso LocomotiveHome3–1Won
27 Sep 2026Monterey BayAway3–2Won
20 Sep 2026Orange County SCHome6–0Won
13 Sep 2026Oakland RootsAway4–1Won
Lexington detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lexington performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home9
Wins away4
Wins total13
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home4
Losses away6
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Lexington goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away21
Goals for total49
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.60
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.89%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.64%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.02%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage21.28%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home14
Goals against total away19
Goals against total33
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.71%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.86%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Las Vegas Lights predictions and analysis, Lexington match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.