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Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

Indy Eleven badge Indy Eleven
VS

Final result1–3

Michael A. Carroll Stadium

Match Finished

Tampa Bay Rowdies badge Tampa Bay Rowdies
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Tampa Bay RowdiesSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Indy ElevenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Tampa Bay RowdiesProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Tampa Bay Rowdies

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorIndy ElevenTampa Bay Rowdies
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2H0.0%100.0%
Goals14.0%86.0%
Total36.2%63.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Indy Eleven

Recent form (last 5): W L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Recent form (last 5): W L W D L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Indy Eleven (03 May 2026)
  2. Indy Eleven 1–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies (03 Aug 2025)
  3. Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–1 Indy Eleven (26 Jun 2025)
  4. Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Indy Eleven (27 Oct 2024)
  5. Indy Eleven 0–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies (21 Jul 2024)
  6. Indy Eleven 0–0 Tampa Bay Rowdies (23 Jul 2023)
  7. Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Indy Eleven (12 Mar 2023)
  8. Indy Eleven 1–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies (31 Jul 2022)
  9. Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Indy Eleven (20 Mar 2022)
  10. Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Indy Eleven (13 Oct 2019)

Indy Eleven recent matches

Scores below are shown as Indy Eleven goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026Loudoun UnitedAway1–1Draw
27 Sep 2026Miami FCHome0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Oakland RootsHome0–1Lost
16 Sep 2026BrooklynHome4–0Won
12 Sep 2026New Mexico UnitedAway2–2Draw
Indy Eleven detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Indy Eleven performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total27
Wins home8
Wins away1
Wins total9
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away8
Losses total11
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total9
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Indy Eleven goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away10
Goals for total33
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.88%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under27
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away20
Goals against total33
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.59%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage29.41%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.82%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage17.65%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Tampa Bay Rowdies recent matches

Scores below are shown as Tampa Bay Rowdies goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Oct 2026Miami FCHome1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026San AntonioAway0–0Draw
20 Sep 2026Birmingham LegionHome4–0Won
13 Sep 2026Hartford AthleticAway1–3Lost
06 Sep 2026BrooklynHome2–0Won
Tampa Bay Rowdies detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Tampa Bay Rowdies performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total27
Wins home8
Wins away7
Wins total15
Draws home2
Draws away5
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away8
Clean sheet total14
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Tampa Bay Rowdies goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home29
Goals for total away17
Goals for total46
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.56%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.56%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage2.22%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total16
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under26
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away9
Goals against total25
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage3.85%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.92%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under27

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Indy Eleven predictions and analysis, Tampa Bay Rowdies match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.