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FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

FC Tulsa badge FC Tulsa
VS

Final result1–1

ONEOK Field

Match Finished

Sacramento Republic badge Sacramento Republic
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : FC Tulsa or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
FC TulsaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Sacramento RepublicProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
FC Tulsa
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : FC Tulsa or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFC TulsaSacramento Republic
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total52.2%47.8%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Tulsa

Recent form (last 5): D L D D W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Sacramento Republic

Recent form (last 5): D W D W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Tulsa 1–0 Sacramento Republic (06 Aug 2026)
  2. Sacramento Republic 2–0 FC Tulsa (08 Mar 2026)
  3. Sacramento Republic 0–1 FC Tulsa (08 Jun 2025)
  4. FC Tulsa 1–0 Sacramento Republic (29 Mar 2025)
  5. FC Tulsa 0–0 Sacramento Republic (23 Jun 2024)
  6. Sacramento Republic 1–1 FC Tulsa (14 Apr 2024)
  7. FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic (30 Apr 2023)
  8. Sacramento Republic 2–1 FC Tulsa (27 Mar 2022)
  9. Sacramento Republic 1–1 FC Tulsa (08 Mar 2020)
  10. FC Tulsa 2–3 Sacramento Republic (06 Oct 2019)

FC Tulsa recent matches

Scores below are shown as FC Tulsa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026New Mexico UnitedHome1–0Won
26 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveAway1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026BrooklynAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingAway1–2Lost
06 Sep 2026San AntonioAway0–0Draw
FC Tulsa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FC Tulsa performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home7
Wins away4
Wins total11
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home8
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total11
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

FC Tulsa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away18
Goals for total31
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage19.35%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.35%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage22.58%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage9.68%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over18
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away17
Goals against total24
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Sacramento Republic recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sacramento Republic goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026Las Vegas LightsHome3–2Won
27 Sep 2026New Mexico UnitedAway3–2Won
21 Sep 2026San AntonioHome0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026Detroit CityHome1–0Won
06 Sep 2026Orange County SCAway1–1Draw
Sacramento Republic detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sacramento Republic performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total26
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home3
Draws away7
Draws total10
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Sacramento Republic goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away13
Goals for total36
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total6
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.89%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.89%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.89%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under25
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under25
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away13
Goals against total24
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.17%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage29.17%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.17%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under26

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FC Tulsa predictions and analysis, Sacramento Republic match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.