FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

VS

Final result1–0

ONEOK Field

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : FC Tulsa or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
FC TulsaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
FC Tulsa
Betting advice
Double chance : FC Tulsa or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFC TulsaNew Mexico United
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals71.0%29.0%
Total57.2%42.8%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Tulsa

Recent form (last 5): W D L D D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): W D D D L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. New Mexico United 1–0 FC Tulsa (16 Aug 2026)
  2. FC Tulsa 3–0 New Mexico United (16 Nov 2025)
  3. New Mexico United 0–1 FC Tulsa (14 Sep 2025)
  4. FC Tulsa 5–2 New Mexico United (10 Aug 2025)
  5. FC Tulsa 1–1 New Mexico United (13 Oct 2024)
  6. New Mexico United 3–3 FC Tulsa (15 Aug 2024)
  7. New Mexico United 2–1 FC Tulsa (27 Aug 2023)
  8. FC Tulsa 1–2 New Mexico United (14 Jul 2022)
  9. FC Tulsa 2–1 New Mexico United (13 Oct 2019)
  10. New Mexico United 2–1 FC Tulsa (21 Mar 2019)

FC Tulsa recent matches

Scores below are shown as FC Tulsa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026El Paso LocomotiveAway1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026BrooklynAway2–2Draw
13 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingAway1–2Lost
06 Sep 2026San AntonioAway0–0Draw
30 Aug 2026Rhode IslandHome1–0Won
FC Tulsa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FC Tulsa performance

Fixtures played home12
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total25
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

FC Tulsa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away18
Goals for total30
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away17
Goals against total24
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026Colorado SpringsAway0–0Draw
17 Sep 2026Birmingham LegionAway4–4Draw
12 Sep 2026Indy ElevenHome2–2Draw
06 Sep 2026Las Vegas LightsAway2–1Won
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home13
Fixtures played away12
Fixtures played total25
Wins home7
Wins away5
Wins total12
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total6
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home21
Goals for total away18
Goals for total39
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.20%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.32%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage26.83%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.83%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under22
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under24
Goals against total home16
Goals against total away14
Goals against total30
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under22
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under25

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FC Tulsa predictions and analysis, New Mexico United match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.