El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for USL Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

USL Championship

VS

Final result0–1

Southwest University Park

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : El Paso Locomotive or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
El Paso LocomotiveProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
New Mexico UnitedProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
El Paso Locomotive
Betting advice
Double chance : El Paso Locomotive or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorEl Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals72.0%28.0%
Total56.8%43.2%

Team form and goal analysis

El Paso Locomotive

Recent form (last 5): W D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

New Mexico United

Recent form (last 5): L L W W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. El Paso Locomotive 0–2 New Mexico United (12 Jul 2026)
  2. New Mexico United 2–2 El Paso Locomotive (07 May 2026)
  3. New Mexico United 0–4 El Paso Locomotive (02 Apr 2026)
  4. El Paso Locomotive 4–1 New Mexico United (28 Feb 2026)
  5. El Paso Locomotive 3–0 New Mexico United (04 May 2025)
  6. New Mexico United 2–2 El Paso Locomotive (17 Apr 2025)
  7. New Mexico United 1–0 El Paso Locomotive (22 Mar 2025)
  8. New Mexico United 2–2 El Paso Locomotive (01 Mar 2025)
  9. El Paso Locomotive 1–2 New Mexico United (28 Jul 2024)
  10. New Mexico United 3–2 El Paso Locomotive (07 Apr 2024)

El Paso Locomotive recent matches

Scores below are shown as El Paso Locomotive goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026Sacramento RepublicHome0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026Orange County SCHome2–1Won
04 Oct 2026LexingtonAway1–3Lost
26 Sep 2026FC TulsaHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Phoenix RisingAway3–1Won
El Paso Locomotive detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

El Paso Locomotive performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away15
Fixtures played total29
Wins home7
Wins away8
Wins total15
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home4
Losses away5
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total6
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total6

El Paso Locomotive goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home23
Goals for total away25
Goals for total48
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.92%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.92%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total10
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.83%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage2.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under29
Goals against total home21
Goals against total away16
Goals against total37
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.62%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.51%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.92%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total9
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under25
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

New Mexico United recent matches

Scores below are shown as New Mexico United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026San AntonioAway0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026Monterey BayHome3–1Won
05 Oct 2026Phoenix RisingHome2–1Won
01 Oct 2026FC TulsaAway0–1Lost
27 Sep 2026Sacramento RepublicHome2–3Lost
New Mexico United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

New Mexico United performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total29
Wins home9
Wins away5
Wins total14
Draws home3
Draws away4
Draws total7
Losses home3
Losses away5
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins6
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away5
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away7
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

New Mexico United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away18
Goals for total44
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total11
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.91%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away16
Goals against total34
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.10
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under29

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore El Paso Locomotive predictions and analysis, New Mexico United match tips, or more USL Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.