Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

VS

Final result3–3

BMO Field

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Orlando City SC and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Toronto FCProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Orlando City SCProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Orlando City SC
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Orlando City SC and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorToronto FCOrlando City SC
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack28.0%72.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson60.0%40.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total44.3%55.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Toronto FC

Recent form (last 5): W L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Orlando City SC

Recent form (last 5): W W L L W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FC (13 Sep 2026)
  2. Toronto FC 4–2 Orlando City SC (19 Oct 2025)
  3. Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC (02 Mar 2025)
  4. Toronto FC 1–2 Orlando City SC (04 Jul 2024)
  5. Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FC (28 Apr 2024)
  6. Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC (22 Oct 2023)
  7. Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC (05 Jul 2023)
  8. Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC (18 Sep 2022)
  9. Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC (14 May 2022)
  10. Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC (18 Jul 2021)

Toronto FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toronto FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026CF MontrealHome2–1Won
27 Sep 2026Nashville SCAway0–2Lost
20 Sep 2026St. Louis CityAway1–3Lost
13 Sep 2026Orlando City SCAway0–3Lost
10 Sep 2026Nashville SCHome2–1Won
Toronto FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toronto FC performance

Fixtures played home15
Fixtures played away13
Fixtures played total28
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home8
Draws away3
Draws total11
Losses home2
Losses away8
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Toronto FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home31
Goals for total away10
Goals for total41
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.63%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.51%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage31.71%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.88%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home29
Goals against total away23
Goals against total52
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.54%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.46%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.31%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.46%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over15
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under18
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under28

Orlando City SC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Orlando City SC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026Philadelphia UnionAway2–4Lost
20 Sep 2026New England RevolutionAway2–4Lost
17 Sep 2026Columbus CrewAway1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Toronto FCHome3–0Won
10 Sep 2026Atlanta United FCAway3–2Won
Orlando City SC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Orlando City SC performance

Fixtures played home14
Fixtures played away14
Fixtures played total28
Wins home8
Wins away3
Wins total11
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away9
Losses total13
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away6-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

Orlando City SC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away25
Goals for total51
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.26%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total13
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage24.07%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.78%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under24
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under28
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away47
Goals against total66
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away3.40
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.94%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.19%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total10
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.63%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.88%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total14
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under21
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under24

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Toronto FC predictions and analysis, Orlando City SC match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.