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Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Major League Soccer, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union badge Philadelphia Union
VS

Talen Energy Stadium

Toronto FC badge Toronto FC
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Philadelphia Union or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Philadelphia UnionProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Toronto FCProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Philadelphia Union
Betting advice
Double chance : Philadelphia Union or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPhiladelphia UnionToronto FC
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack38.0%63.0%
Defence65.0%35.0%
Poisson70.0%30.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total52.5%47.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Philadelphia Union

Recent form (last 5): W D L D L

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Toronto FC

Recent form (last 5): D W L W L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia Union (23 Apr 2026)
  2. Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC (10 Aug 2025)
  3. Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union (29 May 2025)
  4. Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union (14 Jul 2024)
  5. Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC (30 May 2024)
  6. Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union (31 Aug 2023)
  7. Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC (23 Apr 2023)
  8. Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC (09 Oct 2022)
  9. Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union (17 Apr 2022)
  10. Toronto FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union (28 Oct 2021)

Philadelphia Union recent matches

Scores below are shown as Philadelphia Union goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026FC CincinnatiAway0–1Lost
29 Oct 2026Nashville SCAway0–0Draw
25 Oct 2026New England RevolutionHome1–2Lost
17 Oct 2026CharlotteHome2–2Draw
15 Oct 2026Chicago FireAway3–1Won
Philadelphia Union detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Philadelphia Union performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total33
Wins home7
Wins away6
Wins total13
Draws home5
Draws away3
Draws total8
Losses home4
Losses away8
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins8
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away6-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away6
Clean sheet home5
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total7
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total7
Penalty scored percentage87.50%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage12.50%
Penalty total8

Philadelphia Union goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away34
Goals for total62
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total1.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total13
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage21.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total17
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over17
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under21
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home18
Goals against total away33
Goals against total51
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.32%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total12
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.64%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.98%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.98%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total12
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.64%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Toronto FC recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toronto FC goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Nov 2026Atlanta United FCAway1–3Lost
29 Oct 2026DC UnitedHome2–1Won
24 Oct 2026Columbus CrewAway2–4Lost
18 Oct 2026New York Red BullsAway2–0Won
15 Oct 2026Orlando City SCHome3–3Draw
Toronto FC detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toronto FC performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total33
Wins home6
Wins away3
Wins total9
Draws home9
Draws away3
Draws total12
Losses home2
Losses away10
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Toronto FC goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home36
Goals for total away15
Goals for total51
Goals for average home2.10
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total10
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total20
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over28
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under17
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home33
Goals against total away30
Goals against total63
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away1.90
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total7
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.94%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage17.19%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total12
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.94%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total15
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.44%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under15
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Philadelphia Union predictions and analysis, Toronto FC match tips, or more Major League Soccer predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.